add accumulation SWR todo
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TODO.md
48
TODO.md
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@ -16,15 +16,45 @@ manual-check accounts mechanism (medium effort, real user value).
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- **Configurable return cap per position — priority MEDIUM.**
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- **Configurable return cap per position — priority MEDIUM.**
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Default: none; cap outliers like NVDA. Should route through
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Default: none; cap outliers like NVDA. Should route through
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`projections.srf` cleanly.
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`projections.srf` cleanly.
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- **"Not Retired Yet" accumulation-phase mode — priority HIGH.**
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- **Accumulation-mode SWR rate column is misleading — priority LOW.**
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Accumulation phase with contributions before retirement.
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When `retirement_age`/`retirement_at` is configured, the "Safe
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Separate from life events — the simulation has two distinct phases:
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Withdrawal" table's % column divides the SWR amount by the
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accumulation (base spending = 0, contributions applied) and
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CURRENT portfolio value, not the post-accumulation portfolio
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distribution (searched-for withdrawal + spending model). Config:
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value. The dollar amount is correct (it's the safe spending in
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`retirement_age::60` or `retirement_in::10`, plus
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retirement, given the projected accumulation), but the % rate
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`annual_contribution::100000`. Safe withdrawal search only applies
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comes out absurdly high (e.g., 22% of today's portfolio). The
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to the distribution phase. Chart shows portfolio growing during
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Accumulation phase block already shows the median portfolio at
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accumulation, peaking at retirement, then drawing down.
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retirement, so the user can compute the real rate themselves —
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but the SWR table's rate column should ideally divide by the
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median post-accumulation value, or be suppressed when accumulation
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is active. Decide which.
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- **Chart vertical line at retirement boundary — priority LOW.**
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The accumulation-phase spec called this "mandatory" but it was
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explicitly deferred during implementation. The chart currently
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shows the full `accumulation_years + horizon` span without a
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visual marker for where accumulation ends and distribution
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begins. Easier to add to the kitty-graphics chart than the braille
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one.
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- **Goal-seek over distribution horizon for W1 — priority LOW.**
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Today the W1 ("set spending, find date") workflow reports the
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earliest retirement at each user-configured `(horizon, confidence)`
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cell. The philosophically correct version asks "when have I
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accumulated enough wealth that the projection shows a 95%
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probability of success withdrawing X per year from retirement
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until age-of-death?" — i.e. goal-seek across both `accumulation_years`
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AND `distribution_years` simultaneously, anchored to a configured
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age-of-death. NP-shaped search; not worth optimizing until
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someone wants it.
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- **Per-person retirement_age — priority LOW.**
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V1 of the accumulation-phase spec chose Option A: a single
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household retirement boundary derived from the oldest configured
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birthdate. Households where one earner retires significantly
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earlier than the other would benefit from per-person
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`retirement_age` fields on each `type::birthdate` record, with
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contributions stopped per-person.
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- **Configurable max_accumulation_years — priority LOW.**
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Hardcoded at 50 years. Route through `projections.srf` if anyone
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hits the cap.
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- Configurable MIN period selection (currently 3Y/5Y/10Y, exclude 1Y)
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- Configurable MIN period selection (currently 3Y/5Y/10Y, exclude 1Y)
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- Multiple spending models: flat (current), decreasing (1-2% real annual decrease,
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- Multiple spending models: flat (current), decreasing (1-2% real annual decrease,
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Blanchett "spending smile"). Late-life healthcare better modeled as a life event.
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Blanchett "spending smile"). Late-life healthcare better modeled as a life event.
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